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Bybit Report: Regulatory Tailwinds Drive Coinbase Outperformance

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Coinbase’s Premium Valuation Justified by Infrastructure Leadership

Bybit, the world’s second-largest cryptocurrency exchange by trading volume, has released a new “Bybit TradFi x Crypto Report” that delves into the growth potential of Coinbase Global Inc. (NASDAQ: COIN), looking beyond traditional P/E ratios. The report concludes that while the U.S.-based cryptocurrency exchange currently trades at premium valuations—with a forward P/E ratio of 61.55 and P/S ratio of 14.11, significantly above traditional tech peers—its 42% year-to-date outperformance of Bitcoin signals investor recognition of its critical infrastructure value. This premium reflects Coinbase’s unique position as a foundational component of the blockchain economy, with diversified revenue streams poised to capture value from accelerating institutional adoption.

Stablecoin Economics Unlock Hidden Value

The report highlights that traditional valuation metrics may be inadequate for crypto infrastructure plays like Coinbase, as these companies benefit from network effects and regulatory advantages not found in conventional fintech. A key finding is how stablecoin economics unlock a hidden value proposition for Coinbase. Circle’s recent 7x IPO illuminated the true value of stablecoin infrastructure, and the report posits that Coinbase emerges as a significant beneficiary despite being a silent partner. Through its 50% profit-sharing agreement with Circle on USDC, Coinbase captures substantial economic value from the stablecoin boom while incurring minimal operational costs, creating a capital-light revenue stream that scales with digital asset adoption, independent of trading volume volatility.

Regulatory Breakthroughs Enhance Compliance Advantage

The favorable regulatory environment has strategically unlocked Coinbase’s entry into the highly lucrative crypto derivatives market. This includes CFTC-compliant perpetual futures for Bitcoin and Ethereum, a market segment that historically represents over 90% of global crypto derivatives volume but was previously dominated by offshore exchanges due to regulatory constraints. This breakthrough could materially enhance Coinbase’s revenue base as U.S. traders increasingly migrate from unregulated platforms to domestic alternatives, positioning Coinbase to capture premium fees while significantly expanding its addressable market and reinforcing its compliance advantage.

Converging Growth Vectors Under Regulatory Tailwinds

The Bybit analysis identifies four key expansion channels that are simultaneously being unlocked for Coinbase under improving regulatory conditions. These include the new perpetual futures trading, enhanced stablecoin monetization through its USDC profit-sharing agreement, the expansion of diversified subscription services, and aggressive international expansion through MiCA licensing in the EU and new market entries in Asia and Latin America. The convergence of these growth vectors under a more favorable regulatory climate is expected to create a compounding effect on revenue growth, which traditional valuation models may currently underestimate, providing multiple pathways to success even if individual segments underperform.

Historic S&P 500 Inclusion

Coinbase’s historic inclusion in the S&P 500 on May 19, 2025, marked a watershed moment, validating crypto’s increasing integration into mainstream finance. As the first digital asset player to join the prestigious index, this event underscored the growing acceptance and recognition of the crypto industry by traditional financial markets. The Bybit report notes that Coinbase’s performance remains closely tied to overall crypto market sentiment and ongoing regulatory developments, suggesting it is a more suitable investment for those with longer time horizons and a higher risk tolerance, rather than investors seeking short-term stability.

Disclaimer on Investment Advice

The Bybit report explicitly includes a disclaimer emphasizing that past performance does not guarantee future results and that nothing contained within the report constitutes investment advice. It strongly advises investors to conduct their own thorough research and carefully consider their individual risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. This standard financial disclaimer highlights the inherent volatility and risks associated with cryptocurrency investments, even for established players like Coinbase.

Bybit’s Role in Bridging TradFi and DeFi

The report is released by Bybit, the world’s second-largest cryptocurrency exchange, which serves a global community of over 70 million users. Founded in 2018, Bybit aims to redefine openness in the decentralized world by creating a simpler, open, and equitable ecosystem for everyone. With a strong focus on Web3, Bybit strategically partners with leading blockchain protocols to provide robust infrastructure and drive on-chain innovation. Renowned for its secure custody, diverse marketplaces, intuitive user experience, and advanced blockchain tools, Bybit positions itself as a crucial bridge between traditional finance (TradFi) and decentralized finance (DeFi), empowering builders, creators, and enthusiasts to unlock the full potential of Web3.

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